Stormy weather, active hurricane season ahead

Ronald Gordon

The 2013 hurricane season for the Atlantic will be a busy one…that’s the official predictions coming out from Doctor William Gray and his colleagues at the Colorado State University. They predict that there will be more activity than the median from 1981-2010 season. From eighteen named storms, nine are expected to become hurricanes of which four are expected to be a major hurricane—either category three, four or five hurricane storms.

Ronald Gordon, Meteorologist

“Doctor William Gray and Colleagues from Colorado State University have issued their predictions for the 2013 Hurricane Seasons and in it, they are predicted above average hurricane season. To be exact, they are predicting eighteen named storms—nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes. The actual heat that you are experiencing is not directly related to the hurricane season, however, as you rightly mentioned, the sea surface temperatures for the Atlantic Ocean have been seen to be warmer than normal and that is one factor that Doctor William Gray has considered in his forecast for this season. For this season, we are not expecting an El Nino event and that is one factor which will contribute to a possible enhanced season. The previous year, 2012, they were forecasting an El Nino event to materialized which never happened and that is the reason why most forecasts for that season were below than actually what happened. For this season, the likelihood of El Nino is even less so for that reason, we are expecting a little more active season than normal.  I don’t have an exact figure in terms of probability, but as with most probability studies, there is the chance that it could be wrong. But there is a chance that if it is above season predictions, it should be above; the exact amount might not materialize.”